Potential bets for 11/9/24
There are four games I like today personally, funnily enough only spread out through 2 conferences. November in College Football is the month where pretenders sink and contenders rise, and this weekend is a huge weekend for many teams across the College Football landscape, with playoff implications everywhere. These four games though have the potential to make you money.
#21 Colorado (-3.5) at Texas Tech (+155) Over/Under 62.5
I am taking Colorado and I am taking the team total over in specific at 33.5. Texas Tech is at the bottom of the Big 12 in terms of yards per play allowed, and Colorado has one of the most potent offenses in the nation. I understand they don’t have a huge run game, but in recent weeks, Colorado has set it up well enough to be able to run a real play action attack, which with the athletes that Colorado has at Wide Receiver is dangerous. Texas Tech is also coming off a major emotional win at Iowa State, and those can be hard to come down from. I expect Shedeur Sanders to show why he is the number one quarterback in this class and have a game to get him into the real Heisman Conversation and I expect Travis Hunter to continue his massive Heisman like campaign and I think Colorado wins this game by at least a touchdown. I do think they come out slow, and potentially even fall down early, but I wouldn’t panic, as this game sets in, it will favor Colorado’s offense in specific.
Pick: Colorado -3.5
# 11 Alabama (-2.5) at #15 LSU (+120) Over.Under: 58.5
I am sorry to my old roommate, but I am taking Alabama here. I can’t get week one out of my mind where I saw Miller Moss, who just got benched at USC have a field day with this defense. It is two months later, but LSU hasn’t had an easy road. They fell down multiple scores to South Carolina and needed the biggest road comeback in school history to beat the Gamecocks, and then they lost to Texas A&M, who just suffered a horrible loss to South Carolina. I really do like Nuessmier as a quarterback, and I think that LSU continues to have one of the best receiving cores in the country. Alabama is still Alabama though. I understand they got upset by Vanderbilt, but this is also football, thats why you play the games. Jaylen Milroe is still one of the top players in the class, and they still have five star athletes all over the field. Kalen Deboer is still a fantastic coach, and I don’t think Alabama fans should be worried about being 6-2 at this point of the season. I think Alabama goes into Death Valley and Milroe has one of his best games of the season, and solidifies the Crimson Tide as a top 10 team once again.
Pick: Alabama -2.5
# 3 Georgia (-2.5) at # 16 Ole Miss (+115) Over/Under: 54.5
I like Ole Miss in this game actually. I think Georgia is a really vulnerable team, and I think if Texas didn’t gift wrap them 20 points in the form of turnovers, we’d be talking about Georgia a little bit differntly and they would have a loss to Texas and Alabama on their record. I think this is Jaxson Dart’s time to show he is one of the top Quarterbacks in the SEC, and I think the Ole Miss is due for a win agains a massive opponent like Georgia. I know that picking against Georgia is at my own free will and not necessarily the smartest thing, but I also think that Carson Beck is a bit careless with the ball at times and that it could genuinely be costly in a game like this against a guy like Jaxson Dart who can run his offense so well. I think Tre Harris has a massive game for Ole Miss and they come up with a shocking upset.
Pick: Ole Miss Moneyline
#17 Iowa State (-2.5) at Kansas (+115) Over/Under: 51.5
I don’t get this one. I am taking Iowas State to cover, and if you can find an alternate line I would take them to cover if they were as much as a 7.5 point favorite. I am not sure if this is a rivalry that I am missing, but there is no way this line should be this close. I feel the same way about this line as I did for the BYU @ UCF line a couple weeks ago, and I highly suggest taking advantage of this small of a line for these teams. I think that Iowa State coming off a big loss knows they can’t afford to drop a game which theoretically should be a win, and that the run game for Iowa State with Carson Hansen as well as the throwing ability of Rocco Becht will make this game a lot easier against a Kansas team that has struggled for a lot of the year, but did almost beat Kansas State two weeks ago, for what would have been one of the more shocking upsets of the years. Since the ACL tear, Jalon Daniels has not looked 100% like himself, and I think that is obviously affecting how good this team is. Iowa State’s defense will swarm to the ball and make it hard for Daniels to move, which is a tough spot for the quarterback to be in.
Pick: Iowa State -2.5, up to -7.5 if you can find an alternate line.
Play of the day/Parlary of the day
Play of the day is Iowa State -2.5. I said it in my breakdown, but I don’t know how the line for that game is this close, and I think the Cyclones end up blowing the Jayhawks out. Parlay of the day would be Iowa State alternate line -5.5 if you can find it, Colorado -3.5 and Colorado over team total. Those are the plays I am most confident in to set you up for a good Saturday of moneymaking!
